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Amkar have not lost at home this season yet but I think it's high time that happened. They lost their pace in the race for Europe and when you look at their competition (Spartak, Dynamo, CSKA), you can see there's no place for them and they can't go all the way as they know they have no chance, and the season is has been more than a huge success for them. In the last round, they were up by 3-1 in the 89th minute and they squandered that lead away and it surely had an effect on the players. On the other hand, Zenit have a new coach and will try to catch up with Lokomotiv and simply have to win this game. The most important factor for this bet are Amkar's missing players. They couldn't be in a worse situation as they are would be better off without three first-choice players than with a hole at left-back. Zanev is injured, Wawrzyniak is suspended and they will probably have to put the 17-year-old Khodzhaniyazov (on loan from Zenit) to face Hulk. The visitors have more quality, and I get the impression that Hulk alone can settle this game.