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Basketball » Australia 1 (M), Semi-finals
28.03.2014. 11:30 Finished
Perth Wildcats - Illawarra Hawks (91:79)
Total points (OT incl.) 161 tip: Over   Nucky
Odds Stake Min. odds Bookmaker
1.93 5/10 - Pinnacle
I think the bookmakers once again got carried away with the odds on total points. although the Hawks haven't scored 85 points in Perth since 2008, I think they don't even need to for the game to go over this margin. The Wildcats easily went through the Hawks' defense every time they met this season, and scored 86 and over in each of those matches. However, I'm not basing this purely on statistics. The Hawks tried to focus more on defense and build slower possessions on offense in their last league game, and the result was a disaster. Now you can read Martin's statement like they will try to impose a faster pace and attack the Wildcats before they set up a defense. They also spoke about more penetration towards the basket, to get more free throws, and Tiggs and Martin have the quality to do it. Clarke's shooting form also speaks in favor of this bet, but so does the home team's form too. The Wildcats are the best three-point-shooting team of the league, and have been extremely effective from the perimeter over the last few games.Hawks already admitted, several times, that the only way for them to get positive results is to play faster and more offense oriented basketball. Their two away games vs Wildcats can't serve as a benchmark, as they missed too many easy shots in both. The stakes are much higher now, and we can hardly expect another disastrous shooting night for the away team, who also have a plan B. All things considered, I don't see this as an under 170 points game.
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