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Margin for under/over is based on Bulgaria's results from the group phase of the tournament, and their good defense. Still, you have to take into consideration that their rivals were offensively limited Estonia and Armenia, and their biggest rivals, Israel, were more oriented on their defense. Today, they're favorites on paper in the duel against Belgium, whose game is atypical compared to the previous three mentioned. Belgium transform from defense to offense fast, and they used that to maximum in duels against Latvia and Modavia, and on the other hand, they lave space in the defense, which can be used by better teams, like Bulgaria is. Bulgarians have a great backcourt line, a heavy pivot who gets a lot of balls during the match, but also plays defense and is left behind against teams who push fast transitions. Belgium's results from this tournament, as well as their preseason matches show they don't lack efficiency, but if we add this to the results Bulgaria had on the international tournament by the end of last year, where they played with almost identical lineup, and where their matches ended with over on this margin, over on 48.5 goals has a value for the set stake.