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At first sight this margin seems extremely high but there are several reasons why I feel the home team will win this with a 20+ point lead. Koszalin and Kotwica already met twice before this season. The first match Koszalin won with a +21 point lead, the second with +32 at the end of February at home. The best impression on Kotwica team in that game was left by point guard Matthew Rosinski, right along center Terrel Parks. Those two are among the best players in the team, but will almost certainly not be playing today, as the management suspended them both and put them off the team, in a huge blow to an already thin roster of Kotwica. Suffice to say Rosinski averaged 16.4 points in the nine games played for Kotwice, so their best scorer, but also best assist provider with 4 on average. All season long Parks was the only real center and player that could tip the balance in the paint, averaging 11.8 points and 8.2 rebounds. Lately he spent 35 minutes on the court, while Rosinski played even more. This reduces Kotwica to 2-3 experienced players and a large number of completely inexperienced basketball players who cannot hold up a high intensity game for a prolonged period, in my opinion. Koszalin on the other hand are rising in form, coach Miličić set up the team the right way, they're doing great on defense and their motivation is the best possible, as they are at a 13-13 score, sharing the last playoff spot with Asseco. If Kotwica were in full strength, we could expect the home team to win with +15 or so, now the away team are in for a much worse evening.