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Basketball » France 1 (M), Quarter-finals
OddsStatsTip
13.05.2014. 20:50 Finished
Nancy - Boulogne-Levallois (70:61)
Total points 146 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.84 5/10 1.65 144 Pinnacle
The margin is a bit lower than in the game between Nancy and Nanterre two days ago but I think it has a much bigger value. Nancy have worn themselves out in that game, they left their hearts on the court and still lost, which must have been very difficult for them. They managed to impose a defensive, low-scoring game, they allowed 40 points in 36 minutes but they faltered at the very end. I expect the same today. Nancy will surely impose their rough game, and I expect the refs to tolerate their borderline foul moves due to home court and the pressure from the stands. They have allowed over 70 points in only 3 home games and I'm sure they're ready to keep Paris under as well. However, the visitors are also going into the playoffs with a run of 5 games with under 72 points, and neither of those games ended with 140 points or more. The regular season match between the two teams that was played some 20 days ago ended in 66-59 and Nancy were without Falker, player important on both ends, but primarily in defense. This game is very important as it is the first one in a very short series, and as Nancy played the Cup finals just 48 hours ago, I doubt we will see 150 points ore more. This could very much be like the game between Nancy and Nanterre - decided by 60-something points on both ends. A counter-handicap on Paris is a good option, as well as team under on Nancay, but since both teams are not likely to go over 70 points, I've decided to take this option.
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