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The comebacker to the first league looks good at the beginning of the season, but not so much that we'd have x2 1.72 against a twice efficient and better placed opponent, in a situation where both could do with a tie.
Moreirense's closed off game works for away games, that's where they won more points than at home, where they had only one win so far. Before that, they hosted Penafiel, next to last in the league, and couldn't defeat them. Belenenses proved themselves against Boavista on Monday. They have more points won in away games than Moreirense as a home team, and since Lito Vidigal came, away games aren't a problem. Up until his arrival, they didn't score a goal in away games for months, and when he started playing, right in the first game, they resisted Porto. Since then, they've only been defeated on one out of six away games in the league, including against Sporting (1-1). Moreirense don't have players of Miguel Rosa or Deyverson's caliber, the latter one himself scored as much as Moreirense did. They rely on the collective more, and the feistiness itself won't be enough to crack any better opponents. I expected odds to be about a tie, so taking these 1.72 +0.5 is okay, rather than +0.25 option.