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Vincent Aboubakar didn't play much next to Jackson Martinez this season, as expected, but that's also good for the odds we're having because it's his time to shine now. Even though his name isn't as "big" as the Porto's first center forwards', his time will come when the Columbian leaves in the summer transfer window. He took real good use of the time he got in this season, especially in the last two minutes when he was a starter, and played for almost the entire 90 minutes, which he should be doing tonight. Looking at the national team, he needs 91 minutes to score per game this season, and we can see he's a complete player by the places he uses to score, with both legs, his head, and even outside the penalty box.
Another thing going for this bet is Nacional's defense, they didn't concede a goal in only two out of the last 19 matches, and considering Porto's form and three important absences in the home team, Porto should stay in the fight with Benfica after this match, so this bet has a pretty good value.