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A match between teams only three points apart, where the motive is on the home team's side, the bookmakers offer an even, which doesn't really follow what both did at home and away. Both teams proved to be home teams, and Boavista have artificial turf there, the only one in Primeira, and they got seven wins there, including three against teams much better than Maritimo. You could say Boavista won everything they had to at home, and the defeat against Estoril is only a blunder looking at it from this point of view, because Estoril didn't have a crisis then yet, and were a favorite. As good as Boavista are at home, Maritimo are bad in away duels. They got better in those in 2015, but the fact remains that they only beat Gilo and Penafiel since the end of 2013, in 22 away championship games they played. And those two will likely be eliminated from the first league. They can't go up nor down on the league table, so all they have left to do is get ready for the League cup final. Also, they're going to play without five players, three of which are starters. The defensive players Ruben Ferreira and Danilo Pereira's absences are especially important. Petit showed he can get his team to play their best, and considering everything, they're closer to winning than the odds would suggest. Besides confirming their stay in the league, they'll also be motivated by the first match of the season that ended 0-4, when three of their players got sent off. Worst case scenario, the stake should be void.