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Severstal have a great chance to get important points for the playoff against the weakened Sibir. Sibir are pretty secure at the lead place of their division, playoff are long secured, and they'll have a few home matches to confirm it all, so they're not nearly as motivated as Severstal are here. Also, Sibir have lots of absences - the first goalie Salak, tri first line forwards, Ullstrom and Kuguryshev and Enlund who score the most in the team. Also the main defenseman Hersley who is in the Swedish national team, and that's a great handicap because he scored 16 goals this season, he's very important for both their defensive game and powerplay. They lost 7-3 in the last round against Sochi without all these players, and I don't expect them to concede seven again, but I'm convinced the chances are on Severstal's side here. The home team are fighting for the playoff at the West, they have their chance, and this is one that they just have to use. They're in good form, and rising, they have three wins in a row, and two in away matches against Ufa and Omsk, so there's no doubt they can win this. Severstal recently defeated Jokerit, too, at home, and I think they can play really well against the unmotivated Sibir. Severstal have the home ice advantage, huge motive, and a weakened opponent who doesn't care about the points. Don't miss this bet.