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Leipzig and Thuringer meet tonight to play the first of the four derby matches set to be played until season's end. Thuringer are undefeated this season, they have total of 10 wins in ten rounds while Leipzig failed three times in 11 rounds. The last time they beat the visitors was more than two years ago and Thurdinger recorded 8 consecutive head-to-head wins since then, with the point difference always being at least 4 goals.

There's a number of reasons for me to believe Thuringer will continue their winning streak. Unliek the first part of the season, they can't count only n Frey and Luzumova, who missed the whole season anyway. Their form is very close to being perfect, and their three wins after the break very convincing. On the other hand, Leipzig are forced to do without Lederer and Atladottir and without key play maker Lang as of the break. They are also without Visser, which left the organizing to Hubinger. The last match of the year they played with Blomberg was a struggle and the first one in the next year a defeat to Odenburg that prevented them from qualifying to Cup final tournament. After that, Leipzig went to beat Fuchse (barely) and then the injury-hit Bietigheim.
The timing is not ideal and the form at the home team either. I expect Thuringen to win by at least 2-3 goals more than the handicap margin.