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Football » Champions League, 2. round
OddsStatsTip
01.10.2014. 20:45 Finished
Bayer Leverkusen - Benfica (3:1)
Total shots on target 9,5 tip: Over   Hrvoje
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.90 5/10 1.70 10.5 Marathon bet
The stats for Bayer's shots on goal in the matches they've played so far are these, with the shots within the frame in parenthesis: Freiburg away - 16 (7), one player less after 28 minutes Augsburg at home - 17 (9) Wolfsburg away - 12 (3) one player less after 7 minutes Monaco away - 13 (2) Werder at home - 26 (10) Hertha at home - 21 (13) Kopenhagen at home - 17 (9) Dortmund away - 11 (6) Kopenhagen away - 20 (9). To put it in simpler terms, they average more than 10 shots within the frame at home, and the high figures off the frame suggest they keep trying. The figures for Benfica? Estoril away - 15 (9) Moreirense at home - 15 (9) Zenit at home - 17 (5) one player less after 18 minutes Setubal away - 15 (10) Sporting at home - 18 (8) Boavista away - 10 (6) Fereira at home- 11 (4) Rio Ave - 34 (14) with extra time. We've got two teams with great offenses for whom a tied match is of little importance, and will certainly avoid a no score match. The home team have Calhanoglu, who will shoot on the goal from any set piece under 40 meters. The away team don't shy from shooting from any situation either. This is a match with one of the lowest odds on overs, and at the same time with lowest margin on shots within the frame. I think that the bet benefits from the fact one can expect both sides to contribute. Team overs are also a good bet, but as I don't believe one team will go under the set margin, an overall over seems best to me.
Handicap -0.5 tip: 2   Omar
Odds Stake Min. odds Bookmaker
2.03 4/10 - Marathon bet
Leverkusen dropped in form in September, are missing a few important players and I see no reason for them to be such favorites. The only place they are at full strength is on offense, their strongest side on paper as well, but that was true the previous four times and they still scored just two goals.
The only match Benfica lost this season was to Zenit, against whom they were a player short throughout the match, and Zenit, next to Porto, were also the only ones to beat them in the past 11 months! Judging from all the available info, it seems Cesar will defend, so one could say they're not missing anyone (Fejsa and Sulejmani haven't played since spring). A slightly safer but also less lucrative option is to bet on possession - Marathon has a 54 margin, some bookmakers have 52.5. Even if they manage to win somehow, I doubt the counterattacking Leverkusen will significantly prevail on possession.
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