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Basketball » France 1 (M), 4. round
OddsStatsTip
17.10.2014. 20:45 Finished
Nancy - Nanterre (70:79)
Total points (OT incl.) 152.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.87 5/10 1.65 150 Bwin
Last season these teams played three matches which ended at 140 (with extra time), 149, and 105 points. The rosters may have changed but the coaches and focus have not. Nancy still base everything on defense, especially at home, where they are able to limit any team in the league to way under 170 points. Offensively speaking, they have some more power, but Nanterre have also improved on defense over last season. Judging from previous matches, this margin is close to right, but we need to look at the important matches. Nancy went over when trashing Bourg and Gravelies, while they played 154 with the very quick Nymburk, with a penalty finish and 89 points in the second half. In the Limoges match, similar to what I expect today, they played at 131 points, while the away match against the offensively focused Reims saw them at 145. The same goes for Nanterre, who scored 90 against the offensively focused Rouen, Chalon and Cholet who all have porous defenses, going way above this margin. We saw the outcome of matches against strong teams with good defense, in important games, such as against Limoges and Paris, where the outcomes were at 124 and 131 point. Both teams mostly stayed under in the preparation period matches, even when facing each other, where Nancy won 77-71. Compared to that match Nancy will have Pietrus, who makes Weisz's team much stronger defensively. Nancy are also eager to get payback for the three defeats they suffered last season, including the Cup one, so I expect them to be full out aggressive. The margin is too high by about 3-4 points in my opinion, due to effective blowout games, but this will not be the case today. I expect a tough game, and would not be surprised if it were to stay under 140 points.
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