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Basketball » France 1 (M), 7. round
OddsStatsTip
10.11.2014. 20:30 Finished
Dijon - Chalons-Reims (78:57)
Total points (OT incl.) 154 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.70 152.5 William Hill
Taking into consideration only stats, this margin makes sense. Dijon's championship games end at 146.8 points on average, Reims' at 163.7 points. A defense-oriented team meets a offense-oriented opponent. Whose style will prevail? Dijon's, I think. Dijon are an open book, Reims are the mystery here. They are playing a very productive game, averaging 81.0 per game, but things are not as they seem here...When it comes to total points bets, number of points from the floor is very important since it suggest what the game pace and shooting percentages are, with the ladder being the tell-tail sigh of defense efficiency. Reims have had 60 attempts from the floor on average so far, scoring with a 50% efficiency. But, they played mostly offense-oriented teams the first few rounds, with Chalon (173 points), Boulogne (164 points) and Pau Orthez (174p) games blowing up their stats. Chalon played no defense early in the season, Boulogne conceded 230 the last two games, while Reims had an amazing field goal efficiency of 66% with Pau Orthez. But, that has nothing to do with the kind of game they're in for today. Only two of their previous games can be relevant for the one taking place today - the 76-69 defeat to Nancy home and the Cup game they lost 66-63 here. Those meetings proved what kind of game Reims play when meeting top defenses. They won't be trying to outrun the opponents today and almost certainly won't have field goal efficiency of over 50%. Both teams recorded 52 shots from the floor (and 27 free throws combined). Dijon had shooting percentage of 48%, Reims of 42%. The game ended with 129 points. I expect a similar meeting today, both with regards to pace and shooting percentages. If it turns out according to my expectations, it should end well below this margin. Borg knows he need to stop Reims' Americans and this game is very important since his team have a 3-3 record after 6 rounds.
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