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Basketball » France 1 (M), 9. round
OddsStatsTip
24.11.2014. 20:30 Finished
Cholet - Chalon (79:81)
Handicap (OT incl.) -6 tip: 2   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.83 5/10 1.70 -3.5 Pinnacle
The odds at Cholet are dropping, but I don't really understand why. Both teams are of similar quality, even though I value Chalon higher now that they have this defense. Forget the earlier games, Chalon's performances since the Bourg game are the measure of how good they are. They won three out of five games, covering this handicap in both defeats (Boulogne, Gravelines), while recording wins in tough away games in Villerbaune and Paris and beating Nancy home. All opponents but Boulogne were tough, much tougher than Cholet. Chalon did horrible offense against Gravelines, which didn't stop they from staying very close up until the very end. They probably won't have that poor offense performance again, especially because the now have C.J. Wallace back on the team. Cholet are on a 4-4 record after 8 rounds, but their only valuable win was the one over Le Mans, which was by far their best performance this season. Boulogne were having a horrible week when Choled scored 115 in their h2h game, Dijon struggled with injuries, which Cholet took advantage of, while Gravelines had a 7-point lead with three minutes on the clock to go on and not score again. Cholet scored in the last attack to win. The teams are changing, but we should note that Cholet covered this margin in their last five seasons h2h games only once, over three years back. The final point difference was 8. They played three games last year, one of their in this very arena and Chalon won convincingly. I think the visitors are more than capable of winning this. Cholet might have the upper hand, given the home arena, but not more than -2.5 points. Besides, Cholet are not a team like Dijon, Orleans or others - the fact they're playing home doesn't help much. This margin is set too high. Even if Cholet manage to win, I expect a point difference of one or two.
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