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Basketball » France 1 (M), 10. round
OddsStatsTip
29.11.2014. 20:00 Finished
Bourg - Dijon (96:101)
Total points (OT incl.) 147.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.89 5/10 1.70 145 Unibet
Why go with an under when Bourg have nine overs in nine games at this margin? For a number of reasons. Bourg's 5 out of last 6 games ended at 149 or 150 points, just over this margin. They met ASVEL, Gravelines, Limoges and Paris - all the best offenses in the league. Before that, they played at 166 points with Chalon, 154 with the offense-oriented Le Havre and 162 with Nancy as Nancy took a 20-point lead by half time. I expect a completely different story today, a real fight that could result in less than 150. Bourg are hit by a number of injuries and can't count on a few important offense players. This team is very similar to the one that conceded only 68.0 points on average home last season. They rely on defense for success, have three under in the championship at this margin in a row against teams that are much better in offense than Bourg. They played ASVEL in Eurocup on Wednesday and finished with 133 points. Borg are tired, on a busy schedule and this should not be a fast-paced game. Dijon are in the race for Leader's Cup at 5-4 at the moment and this game is very important for them. It's even more important for Bourg, who are on a 4-game losing run and face Strasbourg and Chole away afterwards. I expect a proper fight and this to finish with 140 points or less.
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