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Basketball » France 1 (M), 14. round
OddsStatsTip
23.12.2014. 20:00 Finished
Boulogne-sur-Mer - Bourg (80:79)
Total points (OT incl.) 162.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.87 5/10 1.70 160 Bwin
I see this margin as too high relative to the importance of the game. Boulogne is at 1-12, Bourg at 2-11, both nailed to the bottom, and a defeat here would be a major blow, both mentally and in terms of points. Boulogne have no room for error, as a defeat here coupled with the schedule in the coming weeks would leave them without a chance to avoid relegation. They play at a fast pace, but ended their last three at 149, 127 and 155. Their only win was against Chalon with 127 total points, and they came close to another against Le Mans (129) and Rouen (127). This is crucial for them, and I don't expect them to rush. Castano was also bitter about them allowing 30 in the first quarter in Pariz, saying the players need more heart and courage, not to mention the importance of the match might slow down the pace a bit. Bourg are coming with nine consecutive losses, although they were much more competitive in them than Boulogne. Of their eight away games (including the Cup), only the last against Cholet went over this margin, as they fell apart after conceding 37 points in the second quarter. Theirs was the best defense of the second league last season, they limited Limoges, Strasbourg and offensive Chalon to 80 or under. They faced Boulogne four times in the second league in the past two seasons, one was a blowout with 158, others ended at 151 or under. Last season they played 68-63 here, and Bourg are running the same roster and team barely changed, while Boulogne have the same coach, and were the second best team of the second league offensively last year, and it was still a low scoring game. Injuries are an added bonus to the bet, as Boulogne are missing Tucker, Bourg miss O`Bassett, both very important offensively.
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