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Basketball » France 1 (M), 20. round
OddsStatsTip
06.02.2015. 20:00 Finished
Bourg - Boulogne-sur-Mer (94:80)
Total points (OT incl.) 165.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.91 5/10 1.70 163 5Dimes
Regardless of the fact these are the two defensively weakest teams in the league, I find this margin to be too high. Many factors speak in favor of this. In first place, the match is hugely important as the defeated team here has a 90% chance of getting relegated. Statistics also suggest Bourg play games at 157.7 points and have 14 unders and only 5 overs at this margin, while Boulogne average 162.8 with 12 unders and seven overs. Furthermore, all five previous matches these teams played in the past three seasons stayed under 160 points, including the one a month and a half ago at Boulogne. Under those circumstances, I doubt we'll be seeing elegance, more like a very nervous game with both teams fighting for survival. Bourg brought in Tissot as a new coach a few weeks ago, who immediately put a focus on defense. After an unsuccessful debut against Orleans, where the opponents made 17 three point shots, his style was noticeable against Chalon. Castano on the other hand wants his players to react after poor defending against Paris, and I expect them to be much more tougher today. They've already proven they can play well on defense, and will be facing an offensively rather limited team, who managed to score above 80 points only 4 times this season. This is a crucial game for both sides, a matter of life and death, and as such I find it hard to believe it will go above 160 points.
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