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Basketball » France 1 (M), 33. round
OddsStatsTip
12.05.2015. 20:00 Finished
Limoges - Boulogne-sur-Mer (83:88)
Handicap (OT incl.) -15 tip: 1   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.91 5/10 1.70 -16.5 William Hill
Coach Herve demands his players to do their best in defense and that is the key reason for me to go with this bet. Despite the fact this game is not important for Limoges, everything they have been saying over the past few days suggests Limoges want to keep the atmosphere at the top level ahead of the playoffs. The fact is, Herve wants to keep Boulogne at around 70 points, which means the approach will be at top level here and that means this handicap should be covered easily. Limoges destroyed Bourg away a few days ago, beat them by 32 points and could have gotten the point-difference to 40 had it been necessary. We also need to point out that that game was the last chance for Bourg to save themselves. Boulogne is close to Bourg quality-wise and they're more dangerous when they're allowed to play but much more modest when limited through defense. This game doesn't mean much to them and I think they are a bit overrated because of the last two wins. But they beat Gravelines, who had a horrible shooting efficiency that day and Cholet, who didn't try much. Boulogne combines 30 3s in those two games and I think Limoges will limit them in that segment today, which will make them much less dangerous. The home team have good front court, they will dominate rebounding and should be able to get a lot of free pints through defense. Also, the visitors are still without their top scorer Tucker, and the fact they have a game every three days isn't good either as they rely on only about 8 players. Limoges have more players to count on, which allows them to keep the pace up throughout the game. Out of Boulogne's 14 defeats away this season, 9 were by 15 or more points, three by 14 exactly. I expect Limoges to win this by at least 20 points and I wouldn't be surprised if they crush the opponent like Bourg Saturday. Bologne's under 77.5 is a great option as well.
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