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I have to admit I expected 1.10 on Reggiana, and the market offered 1.50, incredible. Also, I expected the handicap to be -12 or over. In the meantime, everyone reacted, so the odds are at about 1.35 now, which is still much more than I expected, and the -6 handicap is definitely too low, I expected it to be twice as bit.
Why that's the case, I don't know, but a big thanks to the bookmakers. Reggiana are the second team of the league with 28 points and 14-4 ratio, and they have five consecutive wins before this match. Pesaro are the last with only 8 points and 4-14 ratio. They didn't win at home since last November, and now have six defeats in a row. They lost by -1 against Venezia only because Venezia relaxed after having +20 in the third period. They lost by - 19 against Trent, -3 to Bologna, -20 to Cantu, -8 to Brindisi and -15 to Avellino. Reggiana celebrated in the last two away matches, and against much stronger opponents, Cremona (+1) and Brindisi (+23). They defeated Venezia by 9, Avellino by 6, Tretno by 9, all teams who defeated Pesaro. Even Pesaro's coach praised Reggiana, said they're playing better and more beautiful basketball than Milan. I don't know how he can stand up to the healthy Reggiana, Myles is still recovering, and Wright and Lorant are still fitting into the team. These -6 are like a gift for me.