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Basketball » VTB (M), 1. round
OddsStatsTip
14.10.2014. 17:00 Finished
Krasnye Krylya Samara - Tsmoki Minsk (77:71)
Total points 155.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.70 153.5 Bet365
The odds were at 1.07 for Samara's win, with the handicap set at -13.5, which turned out to be a mistake. As the time went by, the margin plummeted to the much more realistic -10.5. It still has value though (2-3 points). At the same time, the total points margin went up, which I don't understand. The only explanation for it are both teams' opening games that went at 180 points (consequence of their respective opponents' game). Nyburk's game is fast-pace, but their defense horrible. Minsk could not cope with Himki's offense (not many teams in the league can). What is more interesting to me than numbers is what Kudrjavcev said after the game. He was not happy with the team not sticking to what was planned (limiting the opponent to 70 points). That says a lot about what can expect from Minsk this season, and only goes to confirm their preseason performances. Their games were under 160 points in all of the eight games this season, going over this margin only against Zenit and Almaty. Defense is what they will build everything else around, since the offense doesn't have that much potential. They need more time together, just like Samara who changed the whole team in preseason and need a few weeks to fin rhythm. As for the preseason, their games were all well under the margin. Having lost a lot of offense potential over the summer, they turn to defense as well. Given the opening games, I think this margin is set way too high.
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