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Basketball » VTB (M), 1. round
OddsStatsTip
03.11.2014. 18:30 Finished
Riga - Krasnye Krylya Samara (67:70)
Home team total points (OT incl.) 78.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.65 77 William Hill
Riga and Samara both changed most of the team and the coach ahead of the season, which affected their ambition. Both teams have been doing much better in defense than in offense so far. Riga went over this margin only twice in ten official games - the first time with the uninspired Jelgava in the championship (80) and the second time when they met Himki (87) in the run'n'gun game with the unmotivated opponent. Their head to head game with the motivated Himki a few days earlier ended very differently, with Riga scoring only 65 points. After that, they met Minsk to score 71 point (26 in the first half). Riga would have scored less than 60 in that game if the home team didn't start making mistakes in the second half. They scored 70 against Zenit and I expect similar efficiency today. On the other hand, Samara struggle with offense while at the same time playing good defense. In 8 preseason games, Samara conceded over this margin only to Zagreb (81), limiting Avtodor to 75, and all the other opponent under 71 point. They conceded more than the margin only to Nymburk in the four official games this season. We can expect a much tough game today since they want to make amends for the defeats in last two games. They came to Latvia with 9-10 and will probably use only 9. But, they are better than they were in the last game since they had only 8 players for the game in Estonia. Puskov is back, Artesin may be on the team too. Samara conceded only 36 points a few days ago in a Cup game, proving their defense is tough. I expect around 70 points today, Riga probably can't reach 80 and this margin thus has value.
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