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Basketball » VTB (M), 1. round
04.04.2015. 16:00 Finished
Riga - Kalev Cramo (89:95)
Total points (OT incl.) 164.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.96 5/10 1.70 162.5 Pinnacle
There's always a special charm in Baltic derby, but unlike others, this one means a lot to both teams because they're fighting for the playoff. Just looking at the league table shows you that this might be the match that decides who's the last one to join the playoff. Just those arguments make us sure this will be a tough and aggressive match. Statistically speaking, the margin is a few points too high, because Riga have 156.8 points in the competition, Kalev 161.2. Looking at their home and away matches separately, those numbers work for this bet even more. One especially impressive info is that Riga never went over 164 points in any of the 11 home matches they played. They hosted best offensive teams of the league here (CSKA, Khimki, Nizhny), and all those matches ended at 160 or under. In a match this important, I doubt we'll be seeing an offensive rhapsody. Riga conceded 102 in Novgorod on Monday, and Mazurs definitely insisted on the defense on practices this week. Warraq confirmed it, and accentuated that segment in the past few weeks. He also said that his team have to be more aggressive defensively if they want to get a chance in this match. All in all, many arguments work in favor of this bet, and the only one that's not is that the first match between the two ended at 173. Still, the stakes are much bigger today, the biggest possible, and I think they'll overcome the aggressiveness, which means this match will end far under 160 points.
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