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Breakers covered the offered handicap in both head-to-head matches against the Wildcats. In the first one Wildcats were missing Knight, while in the other one they had all of their players available. At that time the Breakers had problems with Abercrombie's injury, but they still won with 11 points of difference. What changed since then? The Breakers are still a complete team and only Pledger is questionable. Tapes show that it was a sprain, so he should perform against the Wildcats. Even if he doesn't, the Breakers have a huge advantage under the hoop in the forms of Vukona and Ibekwe. On the other hand, the Wildcats are facing an obvious crisis. They lost two key members of the starting five and they can't make up for them. The newly-arrived Martin is a player who serves as an ability for Damian Martin to rest while Hire is far away, but far from the true shape. Hire didn't even play against Taipans. How bad they are in the defense of the paint is testified by the fact that they conceded 42 points from the pain against the Taipans, who are usually a shooter team. Breakers know how to play against the Wildcats: they put up a fast-paced game with a lot of errors. Jackson and Webster use that better than Martin who prefers a slower pace. The Wildcats don't have enough good players to follow such a fast pace for the entire 40 minutes. That's how the Taipans broke them, but I'm convinced the Breakers will do the same. They're completely ready, they have a longer line-up, rebound advantage and support of the fans. The handicap border has been set too low.