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Basketball » Greece 1 (M), 23. round
OddsStatsTip
18.04.2015. 16:00 Finished
Kifisia - PAOK (60:62)
Handicap (OT incl.) +9.5 tip: 1   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.92 6/10 1.60 7.5 Marathon bet
It's true Kifisia's form is far from ideal in the last months, but the odds and the margin are completely missed here, I think. They're almost identical to those when Oly and PAO played here, and PAOK are far worse than those two. Pyrrhic team were even beat here with a minimal difference, and the Athenians only celebrated in the final moments. Kifisia only lost two games with a difference bigger than this one, 11 and 14, but they had injury issues then, especially Liakopoulos who means a lot to the team. With him back, Kifisia beat Trikala, controlled Rethymno for most of the game. Besides, in the second preparatory match in the away game against strong AEK, they were beat 84-76, and AEK are stronger than PAOK right now. Kifisia improved their game a lot this season, new players blended in, and I expect them to give good resistance here. They're fighting for the playoff, and this match is very important.
On the other hand, PAOK only won one away game this season with a difference bigger than this margin, the last one against Panelefsiniakos, who are at the bottom of the league table. They beat Rethymno by 8, and everyone else with under four, or they lost. They had problems against everyone, and rarely went over 70 (only twice in 11 away duels). If they, by some miracle, win today, it'll be after tight final moments. They beat Kifisia at home by 11, but it'll be much harder here. It's hard to win with a double digit difference in the Greek championship as it is, even when the differences between the teams are much bigger than between these two. I think the margin was missed by at least 4-5 points, and I think this bet has a great value.
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