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Basketball » Greece 1 (M), 26. round
10.05.2015. 15:45 Finished
Panathinaikos - Apollon Patras (80:52)
Total points (OT incl.) 145 tip: Over   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.81 5/10 1.65 145.5 Pinnacle
I think this margin is way too low considering the situation. This match doesn't mean much for either of the teams, and they'll hardly die in the defense. Yesterday's matches (PAOK-Trikala, Kifisia-Panionios) already confirmed that these matches usually end with higher numbers, and I doubt this one will be an exception. Panathinaikos never played under 141 in home matches this season, and I think this one will go over 150. This margin is used mainly because of Apollon and their low numbers, but I still believe this team are worth more, and also, the match against Panionios on Tuesday showed how Apollon should play today. If Panionios scored 84, while it still mattered for Apollon, then Panathinaikos can score close to 90, and that solves all the possible dilemma. In two matches this season, the margin was close to 146, even in the Cup final which mattered much more than this match. This match doesn't mean much to either team because they both changed their roster a lot, but it's worth pointing out that both teams had a similar situation last season, too. They had similar averages then, played an irrelevant match in the last round, and that ended at 174 points. Considering the circumstances, I think this one is more likely to end at 150-160, than it is at 140.
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