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Basketball » Eurocup (M), 4. round
OddsStatsTip
05.11.2014. 17:30 Finished
Khimki - Szolnoki Olaj (98:84)
Handicap (OT incl.) -17 tip: 1   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.88 5/10 1.70 -19.5 Pinnacle
This margin is influenced by Himki's last matches, but is still unrealistic. Himki are rightfully the top contender for the Eurocup next to Lokomotiv, and are much better than their opponent here. They have had a few bad games, but this was heavily influenced by constant away matches, three in a row, which got Himki out of form a bit. The team have finally had a few days to train at home, Kurtinaitis has no injury issues on his roster, and one can hardly expect them to under-perform again. I expect a game like the ones at the start of the season, when Himki demolished Avodor by +26, Minsk in an away match by +28, and Riga at home by +29 points. Szolnoki are not stronger than any of those, and are a typical home team, much better on home court and only confirming that this season having lost all three away matches, -16 in Skoplje, -10 in Riga, and -4 in Zagreb. Cibona should have won that last match by double digits. Himki are miles above all those teams. Szolnoki are aware they have little to look for here, and if the game goes south for them early on, it's likely Aleksić will give the substitutes some play-time. Zvezda is coming to Hungary on Sunday, Besiktas on Tuesday, both matches much more important to Szolnoki than this one as they have a much more realistic chance to win at home even against much stronger opponents. The margin even dropped by a few points, and Himki can cover it within one quarter. I expect the same scenario that happened against Riga in the Eurocup, when they had +30 at halftime against a team who beat Szolnoki +10 on their court.
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