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Basketball » Euroleague (M), 7. round
OddsStatsTip
27.11.2014. 20:45 Finished
Real Madrid - UNICS Kazan (75:85)
1st half total points 78.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.90 5/10 1.70 77 Bet365
I had a couple of ideas for this one; a total under, a host team under and a value lies in each bet. Still, I respect Real's transition and quality and the possibility for the match to turn into a show in the end. Under of the first half-time is by far the best option, I expect that both teams will start with maximum concentration and under those circumstances I hardly see 80 points in the first 20 minutes. UNICS have a team full of great individuals who go in both directions, but so far they didn't seem like a team. Pasutin put extra attention into the defense since the start and UNICS could become a team who will rarely receive over 80 points. The away coach is well-aware of Real's quality, he wants the game to be positional, to play long and smart offenses in order to keep Real's counterattack points to the minimum. Laso also appreciates the Kazan team's quality and I expect Real will crunch themselves in the defense in order to have an easier job for the rest of the match. This bet is a consequence of Real's matches against opponents who rushed into the game (Sassari, Niznij), but UNICS won't fall for that. The rest of the Real's four matches in the Euroleague came to 151 points or less, and on half-time it was 76 or less, and I expect a similar scenario today. As somewhat of a danger I see the possible +15 prior to the finale, which could crush the bet. However, considering both coaches' statements, I expect a careful start from both sides. If UNICS prove to be a tough ut to crack, I expect a similar show as Real's home match against Zalgiris (67 points), and even if Real step up, the most I expect is 45-30, in any case - an under.
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