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Basketball » Euroleague (M), 7. round
OddsStatsTip
28.11.2014. 18:00 Finished
Nizhny Novgorod - Zalgiris (55:61)
Total points (OT incl.) 155 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.88 5/10 1.70 153.5 Pinnacle
Statistically speaking, this bet makes sense. Nizhny have around 165 points per game in the Euroleague, Zalgiris around 148. The first head-to-head match ended at 160 points. However, if we dig deeper, we will see that the under on this match definitely makes sense. Nizhny have four overs in six matches, against the very fast Sassari, against Real with whom they've had 200 points, and against Zalgiris when they received almost a 100 points. However, in that match only 72 points were scored in the first part, and the second one was a show. Against Efes on home court they've played at 142, in Kazanj at 152 points. If we include the home matches from the VTB league, we can see that Nizhny went over with the fast Oktjabro and Astan, and stayed under against Kalev, Avtodor and Lokomotiva. Today's match should be similar to those, the Lithuanian team are even slower than Avtodor and Lokomotiva, and we shouldn't spend words on the importance of the match. After last night's UNICS's win in Madrid, the defeated from this game will find themselves in a difficult situation, because UNICS are warming up and it is to be expected that they will earn the Top 16.

Zalgiris have four unders on this bet. The only two overs are in Italy with Sassari, and in the first match in Kaunas. However, I doubt that same story will be repeated today, we should see a bigger battle and uncertainty until the very end. Zaligris played with Real at 151 and 134 points, with Efes at 128 and UNICS at 148. They're not rushing too much, they're aware of the paint quality and they're using in in positional game. We shouldn't spend words about their defense. Except for the fiasco in Italy, it was high in all other matches.
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