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Basketball » Euroleague (M), 7. round
OddsStatsTip
28.11.2014. 19:30 Finished
Cedevita Olimpija - Limoges (102:83)
Total points (OT incl.) 151 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.65 149.5 Pinnacle
I really fail to understand why bookies increased the margin on this game. It's gone a few points up since this morning and is currently at 152 points. Let's start from the beginning: it is an extremely important game, with the defeated losing any chance to qualify for Top 16. The position five is important as well since means the season will continue for the team, only in Eurocup. Cedevita's average in Euroleague is 146.3 points, Limoges' 152.0. Judging by that, the margin is to high, not to mention that Limoges' average has been hyped by the games with CSKA, Maccabi and Alba, with the one in Berlin settled early in the second half. I expect a similar to their first head-to-head match, or the one in Malaga when Limoges lost 75-69. If we add the championship games to the mix, the average keeps on dropping. Cedevita played a strange game with Zvedza on Monday. It was characterized by a lot of points and fouls. Repeša was angry about Cedevita's defense, well aware that his team needs to win when scoring well over 80 points home. The conceded over 80 the last two games, and before that in none. Cedevita are on a busy schedule, have a few injured players and I don't think they will be interested in outrunning today.Their home game with Unicaja ended at 141, with CSKA at 148, with Alba 147 - all below this margin. This game should be a great fight because no team are allowed to fail if they want Euroleague success. Their first h2h ended at 131 points, and I think this one will end closer to 140 points than at 155 or more. The stakes are simply too high today, both team are defense-oriented and the margin is too high.
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