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Basketball » Euroleague (M), 5. round
14.11.2014. 21:00 Finished
Barcelona - Panathinaikos (78:69)
Total points (OT incl.) 153 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.70 150 Pinnacle
This margin is a direct consequence of both teams' Euroleague games so far. But the group with Bayer, Turow and Fenerbahce has three offense-oriented teams that get the averages up, with Milano being the only defense-oriented team, despite not being at their last season level. Panathinaikos have had extremely high shooting percentages against Fenerbahce and Milano, but Obradovic knows they cannot keep that up. The fast paced Rethymno limited them to 79 points in a championship game. They scored 76 to Kifisija and 75 to Bayern in games with more normal shooting percentages for Panathinaikos. Obradovic knows his team needs good defense for successful games and that is precisely what PAO have been doing against Fenerbahce (limited to 73 points), Milano (63) with only Bayern managing to score over 80. Panathiaikos are tough in defense once again, which is crucial for the games that follow. The Greek team can't win this with 80-90 points - Barcelona will know how to stop Slaughter and his teammates, just like they stopped Goudelock last week.

Barcelona have two overs in four games. 153 were scored in the Turow game, but under against Milano is more relevant since I expect a game similar to that one today. Barcelona managed to score a number of three pointers very early on to take the lead, but the game still finished at 141 points. 164 points were scored in their game over the weekend against the very fast-paced Gran Canaria, 153 in their match with Turow, 141 with Granco, and only 100 with Bruesa. Besides, Barcelona versus Panathinaikos is a basketball classic, with these two opponents meeting 7 times last two seasons. Only the last one of those seven finished with 146 points. The others were never over 130 (games ending in overtime not included). PAO have a new coach and most part of the team has changed, but their style has not changed. I think this margin is set at least 3 or 4 points too high.
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