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Last week we were chasing an under for Vardar with the same margin against a way faster Thuringer team than today's home Podravka, and I don't see why we shouldn't do the same today. Everything said about Vardar's game on offense came true against the Germans, almost everything hangs on the scoring of Penezić and Lukić, who totaled almost half of the 26 goals for Vardar. There is no quick transition, very few goals from counterattacks, the wings are getting few passes and the pivot is forgotten. We should also mention that Vardar's only player for that position today is Anja Althaus, who will also be playing defense. She is now rather mature and no longer has neither the freshness nor the speed from the time when she demolished in Viborg. A point in favor of an under bet and worth mentioning is the great form of goalkeeper Suslina, who came close to an incredible 30 saves in their last match.
Podravka scored 27 against Budućnost, a team synonymous with defense, but such an offensive performance is far from an everyday occurrence. Budućnost failed at defense, their goalies had a bad day, and almost ever shot into the frame way a goal. Podravka's rotation cannot support a quick pace, they rely on eight players at best, of which four are perimeter players who are basically their entire offense. The important thing in this last match is that the home team saw they can handle big teams, at least for some time. In order to score they have to rely on good defense and fewer mistakes, so the statements about going out to 'fight it out' and playing 'bloody knees' defense say enough of their intentions here.