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Adelaide beat Melbourne by 13 points a month ago, but I'm going with the option of Melbourne covering this handicap today. We need to points out that Melbourne started that last game with Tomilson, McRrae and Worthington on the bench, which turned out to be a bad call as they got back and couldn't make up for the deficit later on. Adelaide scored 52 points from the key and recorded 21 rebound more. Their dominance in the key doesn't need further explanation. They will be without BJ Anthony today (had shooting efficiency of 100% in that game with 12 points). He grabbed three rebounds and forced 4 personal fouls. McRae and Kickert had five personal fouls, which caused their team to lose the final quarter by 11 points. A defeat to the Breakers was basically Adelaide's farewell to playoffs, while Melbourne need this win. Anthoony had only 15 minutes per game but his points will be difficult to make up for. Melbourne improved greatly when it comes to rebounding in the last two weeks. They struggled with defending Schenscher in the first round, allowing him to grab 11 rebounds, but they won't make that mistake again. They're better, more motivated, and play home. Adelaide won only one home game, and despite being better in the key, cannot stand up to 36ers' outside of it. Anything but a convincing win for United would be a surprise.