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Basketball » VTB (M), 1. round
OddsStatsTip
16.11.2014. 13:10 Finished
Enisey - Tsmoki Minsk (88:94)
Total points (OT incl.) 165,5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.88 5/10 1.70 163 Unibet
On Wednesday I picked under for this margin with Enisey and Ushak, it ended at 154. Last year Enisey were an extremely offense-focused team, but this year they're stronger in a positional game. Centers Kikanović and Perović should dominate Minsk's inner lineup, and playing on big guys slows down any game. In the ten preseason matches Enisey played, they went over only against Olimpia. Of the official matches, the only ones over were against teams with quick transition (Lokomotiv, CSKA, Bisons, Šiauliai). They have a 1-4 score in the VTB league, this is important for them.
It's even more important for Minsk, as the Russian champion cannot find a win anywhere, but they're definitely better than results suggest. Krivonos and his players did not get along, Griščuk arriving should mean more effort on defense. Minsk have a good roster that should not allow 90 points per game. The change should be for the better, and Girščuk confirmed that defense will be the foundation of their success. The margin is the result of several Minsk games, but is not realistic. I pushed under in some of their matches so far, and it mostly went through (Samara, Riga, Ušak, Zenit). They never went over 160 in their eight preseason matches, and regardless of how poor their defense is, in four of the eight official matches they stayed way below the margin. Overs were against Šiauliai, Bisons, and Saratov, all very quick teams who ignore defense, and against Himki, a strong and quick offensive team who demolished Minsk in their starting match of the season. Today I expect Minsk to react. The game is important to Enisey too, and they're able to limit Minsk to under 70.
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