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Total points margin was based on stats and I think it's at least 2-3 points off. Granted, Pinherios are a good in offense, averaging 82.9 points, while conceding 85.7. They seem to be the team that mostly plays overs and that is true. What stats don't reveal is that they were incredibly good in offense in that game with Uberland that ended with 180 points in total. Days had field goal efficiency of 100% back then and that is something that doesn't happen every day. The first quarter resulted in the faster pace of the whole game and Pinherios now call for a game in which their offense will play the key role. Minas are an offense-oriented team, no matter how bad that might sound.They concede only 70 points per game and win on account of good defense performances. Only Limeira managed to score more than 80 points (83) against them so far, while they limited Baura, the most efficient team in the league. Minas cannot match Pinheiros' offense, and the home team clearly don't have what it takes to beat Minas' defense. They scored 65 to Pameiras, 68 to Franca, and 55 to Baura. All those teams are weaker than Minas defense-wise. Both teams said they want to play good defense in order to win and I think we're going to see a slower-pace game that will end at about 150 points.