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Basketball » Brazil 1 (M), 17. round
17.01.2015. 22:00 Finished
Flamengo - Liga Sorocabana (98:73)
Handicap (OT incl.) -14.5 tip: 1   Nucky
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.93 5/10 - -16.5 Pinnacle
Even though Sorocabana lost by more than 14.5 points difference only three times out of 12, I'm convinced that will happen against Flamengo. The home team lost to Limeira and Bauruo, and brought their placement to risk. They need one of the first four places to directly go to the quarterfinals, and that means they can't make mistakes in games like these. After this game, they're going for a tournament, and this is their last real preparation. Of course they'll want to win as convincingly as possible, so their self-confidence is boosted before the tournament. Still, the most important factor is Sorocabana's offense. Their offense is the worst in the league, and they simply don't have the capacity to surprise Flamengo and score 30 points in one period, which proved to be a problem for Flamengo. They'll do the same as Cearense, impose a fast rhythm and try to use Sorocabana's bad offense. They're significantly better in any position, and of all seven matches against Sorocabana, they didn't lose once, and score 91 points per game in that statistic. Marquinhos and Marcelo are in a good form, and I simply don't see how Sorocabana can lose this with less than 15 points difference.
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