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The margin was set to 154 points in the first match, and was missed by two points. I expect a convincing under now. There are plenty of reasons. The most important one is definitely an element of surprise. The Breakers surprised the Tapians with their game in the first match, and Jackson's explosiveness was used, and he scored 22 points. That won't happen this time ebcause the Taipans will be ready, and we can expect this match to be slower. Besides, coach Fearne was mad at his players after the match for rushing things in certain moments. They shot for 26 three-pointers, and that's what he pointed out. He wants clear shots, even if it means waiting for the shot clock violation alarm. On the other hand, the Breakers got their first win and they're aware of its importance. If they celebrate at home, they're one step away from the title. They used the advantage in the paint, where they scored over 20 points, and they'll definitely push the ball towards Ibewke who can use his speed and get lay-up or extort a fault. While the guests depend on Wilbekin too much, the Breakers can't impose their fast rhythm without Webster and Jackson. Both coaches are aware of the stakes in this match, and will go for a slower game without too many risks, so an under is a real possibility.