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Gimnasia are a pretty bad team when playing away, but I still cannot agree with these odds. The visitors, who are in much better form, are aiming for spot two. Their three-point efficiency is particularly impressive, with Scala and others punishing untimely defense every time. Precisel that is the problem at Penarol. They are not that tough at center positions and tend to have clusters in defense, which creates problems against teams capable of settling the game through semi and far-distance shots. Gimnasia are definitely one of those teams. They have not done the last two matches badly, especially the one against Obraso. Konstzadt is doing great but even he will most likely not be able to get past Gimnasia's defense. Boccia had the fever yesterday an might not play today. Without him, Penarol don't stand a chance. Both teams are equal in the paint quality-wise, with visitors maybe having the upper hand because Clancy is capable of dealing with Penarol's tall players. Backcourt positions should make the difference here and Gimnasia are much better in that segment. They are in excellent form and I don't see a way for Penarol to win this easily.