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Basketball » Euroleague (M), Quarter-finals
OddsStatsTip
20.04.2015. 20:45 Finished
Panathinaikos - CSKA Moscow (86:85)
Total points (OT incl.) 155.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.90 4/10 1.70 154.5 Bet365
I don't think Ivanovic will make the mistake of engaging into outrunning with CSKA after the outcome of the first two games. Panathinaikos will probably try and slow down the game through tough defense like against Real in order to try and beat the objectively tougher opponent. Ivanovic and players were very clear about the necessity to play tougher, more aggressive defense, as well as bringing the number of mistakes down. That allowed CSKA to score a lot of free points. As for Panathinaikos' home games in Euroleague, those crucial ones almost always finished with small number of points (Žalgiris 135, Zvezda 143, Real 154, Alba 134). They went over that crazy night which finished with 18 three points at season opening with Fener, against offense-oriented Turow and Bayern and in the big over over Galatasaray (52 points in the last quarter). Exceptions are games against Barcelona and Maccabi, which finished at 158 and 159 points after nerve-wrecking finishes.

On the other hand and many time this season, CSKA's brilliant offense was often controlling the games. But everything there starts with tough defense that is getting better as the season advances. Panathinaikos would have been limited to around 60 and 70 points in Moscow if CSKA kept the level up until the end. I don't expect them to crush this oppoennt like that today, nor I expect CSKA to finish at over 90 points. I expect a tougher game in which the home team will stay close up until the very end. CSKA are tougher away and had a few of away matches like those in Top 16. CSKA stayed under this margin against offense-oriented Kutxa (155 points), with the only exception being the Olympiacos game, which finished at 160 points. They went over in unimportant games or when playing with no pressure. In VTB league, CSKA stayed under 154 and 148 points in tough away games against Lokomotiv and UNICS. Also, in tough games from Euroleague first stage finished at 151 after overtime (in Malaga) and 145 in Tel Aviv. We need to add that they were without Teodosic back then though. I don't see this as a one-sided win or a game with such efficiency like in the second game (CSKA at 61% from the floor), I expect this to finish with 150 or less points.
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