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Basketball » Italy 1 (M), Quarter-finals
OddsStatsTip
25.05.2015. 20:45 Finished
Cantu - Venezia (81:64)
Home team total points (OT incl.) 79,5 tip: Under   BoleTop
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.92 4/10 1.75 78.5 Pinnacle
Setting this margin at Cantu makes no sense for me if I take a look at head-to-head matches. They scored 73 and 68 points in regular season and 70 and 72 in the first two games of this series. They scored 90 points and won the last game. It's quite clear what Venezia have to do if they want to advance to semifinals. Recalcati has done a good job detecting the reason behind their defeat, which is first and foremost lack of aggressiveness that gave Cantu a lot of room. That is, in my opinion, the key to Venezia succeeding. When they're aggressive, they force Cantu into a lot of turnovers and their attack boils down to individual attempts. Cantu scored 90 points yesterday thanks to the first quarter in which they scored 30. Judging by the other four games of the season and Recalcati and his players' experience, that will most likely not happen again today. The tension will be high, the stake as well and I don't think Cantu will do brilliantly on the offensive end today. The only thing stopping me from going with much higher stake is the fact Vanezia conceded over this margin in 4 out of the last 5 regular season games. But they conceded over only once in the 8 previous games (their average is 70 goals in those games), which is clearly proving their defense is capable of doing well.
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