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I expect Gimnasia to win in the third match as well. Although Penarol are more dangerous in front of their fans, but Gimnasia have shown they're collectively stronger. They have a lot more options on the bench and are capable to hold a fresh player on Osimani for the entire 40 minutes. On the other hand, Penarol still didn't manage to find a solution for Clancy in the paint and I'm convinced he will get them another win. Gimnasia surely won't repeat the mistakes from the first match when they left the shot in the paint open for other players. Although they convincingly lost to Penarol in an away match of the regular part of the season, they knew how to surprise them on their court. Penarol are not 100% and they don't have enough adequate substitutes and back players aren't capable of handling all of the load. Gimnasia will bring uncertainty into the third match and the counterhandicap is a bet I simply have to take.