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Anzhi have the worst defense in the league, so far they conceded 29 goals, second worst are Ufa with 24 conceded, and all other teams are at around 30, which talks best about the lack of defensive quality. The especially intriguing thing is the way Anzhi concede, their defense seems confused and unconnected. I don't want to exaggerate, but they conceded many goals that look like they are from those video clips from lower leagues in which a team deliberately allows a goal, but doesn't want it to be too obvious, and they conceded around 10 such goals this season.. Second-to-last Mordovia defeated them 4-0 in the last round, the first two goals were awful, and the fourth came after a badly set offside trap. I gave an example from only one game, but that happens all the time, Anzhi are not at the bottom by accident, and the astonishing thing is that in half of their games they were more dominant.
Lokomotiv are not an offensive force, when we look at the numbers, but the Russian league is like that and you have to adjust to it. After Zenit (29) and CSKA (28), Lokomotiv actually have the third best offense in the league with 26 goals which is a fact that is in favor of this bet, and Lokomotiv should score against a team like Anzhi. The first game at Kaspiysk finished 3-1 for the team from Moscow, Lokomotiv were losing but they made a comeback thanks to two goals that Anzhi 'gave' them, and the third one they 'scored'. The only doubt about this game is will I bet -0.75 or Lokomotiv's over 1.5, but this is a much better option because, in case the away team scores, we still have a chance to win, even bigger actually because Lokomotiv will have a greater need for goals and it shouldn't be a problem to score them against the worst defense in the league.