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Favoring Sturm in the Carinthian derby in Wolfsberg is pretty strange, illogical even, if we consider the form, absences and performances in several initial matches of the season. It is true that WAC have won only one point in the first three rounds, but all of their League matches were between their European games, and they faced both great teams from Vienna, Rapid and Austria, who are at the top of the league table.
Vienna lost in the last round after referee's harsh oversight in Rapid's favor, but they played an even match. Even better example is the Europa League third Preliminary Round match which WAC lost to Borussia Dortmund, but they could have won. As it was said in the preview, the only thing this team is missing is efficiency, and when they start scoring, their opponents could be quite shocked.
Sturm could be the first ones to experience that, because WAC have for years been playing their best against favored teams or their neighbors from Graz, and they will be maximally motivated today. What can we say about Sturm, who couldn't defeat Admira and Grodig, two relegation candidates, at home, and they celebrated with a lucky goal in the last round against exhausted Altach, who returned from Portugal the day before the game?
Not enough to make them the favorites in this match, especially since eight of their players will not be playing, almost whole midfield, and their playmaker Hadzic will also miss the match because, according to reliable sources, he will be transferred to Turkey. Sturm are often playing without any ideas, their game comes down to frequent long passes ahead, and that will not do today, because the home team are a tough and tactically well set team.
Those that want, can try and bet on Wolfsberger's win at a smaller stake, but betting that the home team will b unbeaten is worth more stake because Sturm lack the game and offensive potential to dominate the Carinthian derby, especially not as guests in Wolfsberg.