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Bastia are a typical home team who is always playable when they're playing at Furiani. However, I didn't opt for Bastia due to a reason that they're a team who play well at the home court, but there are several other reasons. First of all, we have to say that the home team are really playing well. In the last five matches, they won four times (they lost only to the strong Monaco), and not once in those four matches did they concede a goal, and they're already dreaming of Europe. During that period they had a lot of problems with absences (in the back line), but for today it's almost complete.
I have a positive opinion about Lorient, mostly due to the reason that they're one of the rare offensive teams in the league. But, today they're without their first forward Moukandjo, which is a significant handicap. Also, we shouldn't forget that Lorient played in the cup this week in which they earned the semi-finals, and they are surely tired from it all. Lorient are not a bad visiting team, but they're far from scaring anyone.
I think the home win here is a realistic outcome, but considering we have no reasons to take risks, let's take the home team's win with no draw so we can secure ourselves in case of a draw (even tough Bastia don't have a single draw at home in the whole season).