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The margin is low, but so is the offensive power of these two teams. Gabon scored 49 points with 34% of shots from the floor in the first round. Mali scored 58, but with 28.6% of shots from the floor. I wouldn't say that was because of their opponents, these two teams simply lack offensive quality. Mali have become a real defensive machine under Lautie. In the qualifications for the Afrobasket they played against Senegal twice - 65-43 and 50-47. Their results in the preparations for this competition were: Ivory Coast - Mali 42-62, Ivory Coast - Mali 76-62, Algeria - Mali 63-57, Algeria - Mali 60-66, Senegal - Mali 61-52, Mali - Cape Verde (in Senegal) win by 32, result unknown. So, all of their matches were, more or less, at a lower number of points, and they played the same way against Cameroon in the first round. In the AB qualifications, Gabon played against Central African Republic 79-75, but with 65-65 in the regular time, 65-51 and 72-56 against Chad and one over against Central African Republic (75-64). They displayed numerous offensive flaws in the first round game against Egypt, and Mali are, I would dare to say, even better defensively. Since winning this match means avoiding Tunisia in the Round of 16, the importance of the game also comes into consideration and this one shouldn't go over.
The limit is quite spread out, so the stakes should be modified a bit for a margin below 130.5.