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We have a classical duel of two teams dedicated to good defenses in a match with a lot of point value. From the start the situation is perfect for an under and the margin (created completely statistically) is not too low. Especially if you know that the first mat of the season the teams ended with 47 goals. CSM has eight unders and 10 overs on this margin, but we have to look at the situations in which they hand the overs. It was like this: against Baia Mare led by the offensively sharp Walther they stopped at 55, as well as in the total fiasco against Focsani and against Vasuluij who are playing very tough. Then they played at 56 against Calasaria who was in a defensive crisis, and they stopped at 54 in a fiasco against Galati. The most fresh overs in the league were against Odorhei (55) who have, in the lack of good offense options, decided to play 3-3 defense and after that they went in with a stronger transition, looking for easy scores. In the last round they finished at 58 against Steau who as a rule run throughout the 60 minutes. The key of the overs was in the opponents, not CSM. As soon as a defensively better team was on the other side, or a team who play slower, they stayed in today's margin under. Timisoara are very defensively oriented who don't run around because of the not so wide roster. They went over today's margin only against Ploiesti (55) who are very tough, and when they fell apart against Focsani (57) and Galati (62), and against Targu who still played tough at the time. In all of the other matches they remained at 53 and less, and in the last two rounds even against Dinamo (53) and Odorhei (51), both tough teams. Today the're up against CSM who are much slower, just like Timisoara. Considering that detail and the high point value of this match, it doesn't seem realistic to me that this match comes close to 55 points. It's a lot more realistic that it remains at 50-ish points, despite CSM being stronger for Mojsovski today. Besides, he's a player who is used to playing slow, not one of those who will run around.