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Football » Spain 1, 22. round
30.01.2016. 18:15 Finished
Getafe - Athletic Bilbao (0:1)
Handicap +0,5 tip: 1   Ivan
Odds Stake Min. odds Bookmaker
1.75 5/10 1.65 Pinnacle
I think the bookmakers overestimated Athletic a bit. In normal circumstances I would even allow them to be minor favorites, but they surely aren't like this.
Let's start from the home team. First of all, I have to say that I admire Escribo very much for doing a phenomenal job with Elche and made a terrible team stay in the league (they were kicked out administratively). It took some time to settle down in Getafe, but before the last round, they were undefeated for six matches, which is a good sign. Furthermore, they are a typically home team who earned 21 out of the 26 points at home. This season only Barcelona and Granada in the first round won here, while Getafe achieved six wins and three draws. I will agree that Sarabi not playing is a handicap, but the team doesn't depend on him.
On the other hand, we have Athletic who are undoubtedly the better team on paper, but who have a couple of minuses for his away game. First and foremost is being spent after the match against Barca. On Wednesday they had a tough match, while Getafe were preparing the whole week only for this. Also, it's important to mention that Athletic are also first and foremost a home team. In eleven away matches this season, they were defeated six times, and only three times they won in away matches. If the hosts' problem is Sarabi's absence, then the away team's handicap is the absence of Raul Garcia, and probably Iker Muniain.
If you ask me, this should be a 50-50 match in circumstances like these, and not with odds of almost 3.50 for the hosts. We don't have reasons to risk it like that, so we will be pleased in Getafe remain undefeated at home.
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