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This tip doesn't really have a base in stats but I'll try to explain why I'm going with it anyway. Croatia played 6 friendly matches so far, all of which were unders at this margin. However, their opponents were very good in defense (Germany, Turkey, Lithuania and even Bosnia to some extend). Estonia are not even close to that level, they lack the toughness while at the same time playing a much faster-paced game, which is definitely good for this tip. Furthermore, Croatia are superior in rebounding. I believe that Saric, Tomic, and Zoric will grab a great number of offensive rebounds, which will give their team another attack and a better chance of scoring. Marko Tomas' injury has no effect on this because he's a key play in defense, no offense. Like this, Hezonja, who is better than Tomas in offense, will spend more time on the floor. These kind of teams that lack toughness suit him best. And finally, the preparation period is coming to its end, meaning that teams are only better, just like their shooting efficiency. I'm sure Croatia will score over 80 points for the first time in this preparation period today since they have such great players to choose from on the offensive end.