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Handball » Switzerland 1 (M)
OddsStatsTip
25.11.2015. 19:30 Finished
Wacker Thun - Bern Muri (22:20)
Total goals 51.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Bookmaker
1.90 4/10 1.70 William Hill
Everything here suggests that we are in for a tough game. Firstly, this is a local derby in which a win always has a special significance, even when points are not that significant. This time points are extremely important, because regular season is ending soon, and Amicitia have returned into the race with yesterday's win over Schaffhausen, so neither Wacker nor Bern are safe. In previous seasons, their head-to-head games in Thun regularly stayed at 50 or less goals. It is known that Wacker play strong, sometimes rough, defense at home and their home games can often turn into fights. Except for the game against Kadetten, who are different rivals than Bern, Wacker didn't conceded over 23 goals at home, and they went into over only against weaker rivals. With Amicitia they stayed at 43, with Otmar at 47 and I wouldn't be surprised if a similar thing happened today. They were mostly under in away games against stronger teams, they were at 44 against Pfadi, 51 against Bern, and they went to 52 against Otmar who like to play faster at home. Bern have pointed out that they have to stop Wacker's counterattacks and look for their chance in positioning. In their first head-to-head game that stayed at 51 goals, 41 goals were scored in 53 minutes. We should also add that combined, the goalkeepers made 18 saves (27%), and the games in which only Wacker's or Bern's goalkeepers save as much are frequent. Bern have, in the meantime, improved their defense, and in the last four games they didn't concede over 25 goals. They stayed under against stronger teams, and the only exception is the game in St. Gallen when they conceded 18 already in the first half. There are several defensively oriented teams in the Swiss league (Bern, Wacker, Pfadi) and it is always profitable to bet on the under on this margin in their games. We have a clash between the second and third best defenses in the league, which conceded under 24 goals on average, with top goalkeepers, a great local derby, tradition of head-to-head games on out side and on top of all, points are extremely important. In these circumstances, this should stay under the set margin.
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