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Spain played in Estonia only a few days ago. The odds at their win were 1.10 and I don't see any difference between that and this game. Croatia might not be as good as Spain but Estonia didn't put up as good a fight as the final result suggests. They are a bad team that spends most of the team defending and hoping not to concede. That is no surprise since their players are not starters even in the Estonian championship. They cannot stand up to Croatia today. They an count on luck only but not even that could probably save them. There is nothing working in their favor here. If Croatia score an early goal and force them to abandon the defense-oriented approach, Estonia could be in for a disaster. They lost this year to Denmark 8-0, Slovenia 7-1, Belarus 4-0, France 6-0 and narrowly to Kazakhstan, Moldova, Turkmenistan, Finland...There is no point in drawing comparisons to U19 teams from previous years since a lot changed but even if we did, things would not get better for Finland. They will not lose today if Croatia miss out on all the great attempts (I think the will have at least 10). If Croatia were the home team, the odds would be at 1,10-1,15 max, the handicap (-1,5) at 1,30-1,40. Since the home team won't have much of a support today the home court advantage is not that valuable.