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I do understand that the game plan can change drastically compared to previous games but given what we've seen in the previous rounds, I find it quite difficult to understand this margin. Granted, Tevin Coleman opened the season as a starter but only because the player who should have been his competition got injured. Sadly, Coleman suffered an injury as well, which allowed Freeman to become one of the most pleasant surprises of this season's NFL. Everything started with his brilliant performance against the Giants and got even better in the last 3 games during which he recorded 362 rushing and 177 passing yards, with 7 touchdowns. His amazing numbers would have been even better had he not spend half of the Texans game on the bench after his team took a 42-0 lead. Coleman made a comeback last week to have only two carries for 3 yards. I don't think he'll play much today unless of course Freeman suffers an injury. The offensive coordinator Shanahan is most likely not be able to believe what Freeman is doing to defenses, which is why he's keep him on the pitch as long as possible. Interestingly, Coleman was put under this passing+receiving option even though he's no threat when it comes to receiving since he has 0 catches, unlike the much more versatile Coleman.

Even though this is a game with potentially a lot of yards I'm not sure this margin is set properly. I'll try and explain why in short. The veteran Bills' running back missed most of the preparation period due to an injury and has not been there at the very start of the season either. He played is first game of the season in the second week and has since recorded 26 (7+19), 26 (4+22), 109 (10+99) and 2 yards (10-8). He participated in less than 30 percent of plays. He never had more than three rushing attempts in any of the four games (3, 1, 2, 3) and only once recorded more than three catches (1, 2 , 5, 3). Those 5 are from the Cowboys game. That is by far his most successful game and he recorded almost all of his yards in the second play of the overtime when he took advantage of the Cowboys' mistake for an 80-yard catch that ended the game. Even when I take that into account when calculating the average, he is still at 40, 75 yards per game (at 20,75 without that one). That is still under this margin. I don't think the Falcons are any worse than any of the other opponents he was met so far when it comes to defense (Bucs, the Panthers, the Cowboys, the Eagles).